Dow Jones Futures Await Jobs Report As Tesla Rises, Bitcoin Tumbles


Dow Jones futures were little changed Friday morning, along with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures, after U.S. stock markets were closed for the Fourth of July holiday. Bitcoin sold off, extending a recent slide. The jobs report is due before the open.

X NOW PLAYING Nasdaq, S&P 500 Hit Highs; ASML, Tencent Music, Agnico-Eagle Mines In Focus

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit record highs in Wednesday’s half-day session. Tesla (TSLA) continued its powerful run, running up to a major trendline. Nvidia (NVDA) had a solid session on a strong day for chips.

ASML (ASML), Entegris (ENTG), (MNDY), Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM), Southern Copper (SCCO), Tencent Music (TME) and Vistra (VST) flashed buy signals Wednesday.

Dow Jones Futures Today

Dow Jones futures were 0.1% below fair value. S&P 500 futures edged lower and Nasdaq 100 futures advanced 0.1%, aided by Tesla.

The 10-year Treasury yield edged down to 4.34%.

Bitcoin has plunged to above $55,000, at multimonth lows.

Friday’s jobs report will be sure to swing Dow futures and Treasury yields early Friday.

The Labour Party won a landslide victory in Thursday’s U.K. elections.

Remember that overnight action in Dow futures and elsewhere doesn’t necessarily translate into actual trading in the next regular stock market session.

Jobs Report

The Labor Department will release the June jobs report at 8:30 a.m. ET Friday. Economists expect nonfarm payrolls to show a gain of 189,000, cooling from May’s rise of 272,000. The jobless rate is forecast to remain at 4%. Average hourly earnings are seen rising 3.9% vs. a year earlier, down from 4.1% in May.

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Stock Market Rally

The stock market rally technically was mixed Wednesday, but the action of the S&P 500, Nasdaq and leading stocks cast a clearly bullish tone.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost a fraction in Wednesday’s stock market trading. The S&P 500 index climbed 0.5%. The Nasdaq composite rose 0.9%. The small-cap Russell 2000 edged up 0.1% but came off highs after briefly reclaiming the 50-day line.

The Nasdaq is 7.6% above the 50-day line, increasingly extended. That raises the risks of a pullback, though it doesn’t have to happen right away.

U.S. crude oil prices rose 1.3% to $83.88 a barrel.

The 10-year Treasury yield fell 9 basis points to 4.35%, down 13 basis points in two sessions.

Treasury yields tumbled as the June ISM services index signaled contraction, along with weaker-than-expected labor data from the ADP Employment Report and initial jobless claims.

Fed minutes from the June meeting released after the market’s early close, showed policymakers seeing risks “moving into better balance.” However, they want “greater confidence” before cutting interest rates.


Among growth ETFs, the Innovator IBD 50 ETF (FFTY) rose 0.6% on Wednesday. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) edged higher. The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) jumped 2.4%. Nvidia stock and ASML are major SMH holdings.

Reflecting more-speculative story stocks, ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) popped 1.8% and ARK Genomics ETF (ARKG) climbed 1.2%. Tesla stock is the No. 1 holding across Ark Invest’s ETFs. Cathie Wood sold some Tesla shares on Tuesday and again on Wednesday.

SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) rallied 1.8%. The Energy Select SPDR ETF (XLE) rose 0.25% and the Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) fell 0.7%.

The Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) climbed 0.3%. The Financial Select SPDR ETF (XLF) dipped 0.2%.

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Nvidia Stock

Nvidia stock leapt 4.6% to 128.28, decisively above the 21-day line and above the 10-day line since June 20. An aggressive investor could have used Wednesday’s action as a place to add a few more shares. But NVDA stock could use a longer pause.

Tesla Stock

Tesla stock rose more than 1% early Friday.

The EV giant jumped 6.5% to 246.39 Wednesday, extending its weekly gain to 24.6% after jumping 8.1% last week.

Shares are greatly extended from the 191.08 handle buy point. TSLA stock is coming up to a long-term trendline going back to its late 2021 all-time high. Ideally, Tesla would pause for a while. Earnings are due in two weeks.

Stocks In Buy Areas

ASML stock rose 2.2% to 1,071.20, moving back above a 1,056.34 buy point, according to MarketSurge analysis. The chip-equipment giant recently found support at the 21-day line. ASML earnings are due on July 17.

Entegris stock popped 3.1% to 140.81, moving above a handle buy point of 139.81. stock gained 2.65% to 243.31, back above a 239.54 entry as well as retaking a prior base buy point of 239.22.

Angico-Eagle stock popped 4% to 68.27, rebounding above the 50-day line and breaking a trendline. AEM stock has a 71.50 buy point from a flat base.

Southern Copper stock leapt 5.5% to 116.03, bouncing above the 50-day. SCCO stock has a consolidation pattern with a 120.79 buy point.

Tencent Music stock gained 3.5% to 14.94, breaking a trendline within a flat base. The official buy point is 15.77. TME stock is bouncing off the 50-day line.

Vistra stock popped 4.1% to 91.31, back above the 50-day line and short-term highs. The power generation company, an AI-adjacent play, may be starting to build the right side of a new base.

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What To Do Now

The stock market rally is showing strength on the most important indexes. Breadth could be better, but there are plenty of stocks that have been flashing buy signals from a variety of sectors.

That’s why it’s critical to run your screens consistently and cast a wide net.

The Nasdaq being increasingly extended is a reason to be cautious about adding exposure, but the broader bullish trend is well intact.Start paying attention to earnings dates. Quarterly reports will start picking up in the next week or so.

Read The Big Picture every day to stay in sync with the market direction and leading stocks and sectors.

Nvidia, ASML and Agnico-Eagle stock are on the IBD Leaderboard, with Weatherford stock on the watchlist. Nvidia, are on the IBD 50.

ASML was Wednesday’s IBD Stock Of The Day.

Please follow Ed Carson on Threads at @edcarson1971 and X/Twitter at @IBD_ECarson  for stock market updates and more.


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