Dow Jones futures were little changed late Monday, along with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures. The stock market rally rose modestly Monday, amid fresh coronavirus vaccine news. Tesla stock, Nio (NIO), Xpeng Motors (XPEV), Li Auto (LI) and many other EV plays raced higher.
PayPal (PYPL) flashed early buy signals, as the digital payments stock has become the latest Bitcoin play — and player. CrowdStrike (CRWD), Twilio (TWLO) and Novocure (NVCR), which flash similar buy signals late last week, continued to rally Monday after testing additional buy points.
Finally, Apple stock had a bad session, falling through its 50-day line, continuing to lose ground vs. the overall stock market rally. Apple (AAPL), which boasts a $1.936 trillion market cap, is a member of the Dow Jones, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq composite.
Dow Jones Futures Today
Dow Jones futures were just above fair value. So were S&P 500 futures. Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.1%.
Coronavirus cases worldwide reached 59.44 million. Covid-19 deaths topped 1.40 million.
Coronavirus cases in the U.S. have hit 12.73 million, with deaths above 263,000.
Early Monday, AstraZeneca (AZN) reported that its coronavirus vaccine was 62% or 90% effective, depending on the dosage. The AstraZeneca Covid vaccine, developed with Oxford, is far cheaper that the Pfizer (PFE) or Moderna (MRNA) vaccines, but those are roughly 95% effective.
In any cases, there is a strong chance that the Pfizer coronavirus vaccine will win FDA approval by mid-December, with the Moderna and AstraZeneca vaccines perhaps getting authorization before year-end.
Stock Market Rally Monday
The stock market rally had a broad but uneven rally, weighted toward real economy plays. President-elect Joe Biden named former Federal Reserve chief Janet Yellen to be his Treasury Secretary. That news appeared to push stocks higher as well.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.1% in Monday’s stock market trading, as Boeing (BA), Chevron (CVX), Disney (DIS), JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and more offset weakness in Apple stock. The S&P 500 index climbed 0.6%. The Nasdaq composite edged up 0.2%. All the major indexes are near record highs. The small-cap Russell 2000 stepped up with a 1.85% gain to an all-time level.
The Russell 2000 and Dow Jones led as real economy sectors such as airlines, financials, energy and industrials rallied on the coronavirus vaccine news. Some pure-play stay-at-home stocks such as Zoom Video (ZM) retreated, while software was mixed.
But growth stocks overall did well.
Among the best ETFs, the Innovator IBD 50 ETF (FFTY) climbed 0.8%. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) dipped 0.1%. The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) rose 1.5%, hitting a new high.
Tesla Stock, Nio, EV Sector On Fire
Tesla stock shot up 6.5% to 521.49, hitting a record high Monday after soaring 20% last week on news that it’ll join the S&P 500 index on Dec. 21. Shares are far extended from a 466 buy point.
Wedbush analyst Dan Ives raised his TSLA price target to $650 with a $1,000 bull case target. The Tesla price target hike largely came from Ives’ forecast for a booming electric car market in 2021.
Nio Stock, EV Sector
The broader EV stock sector had a huge day.
Nio stock jumped more than 12% to a record high. Xpeng stock skyrocketed 34% and Li Auto 14.5%. Xpeng and Li Auto stock, both 2020 IPOs, hit record highs.
Electric van startup Workhorse Group (WKHS) vaulted 12%. Electric truck startup Lordstown Motors (RIDE), with Workhorse and General Motors (GM) as investors, leapt 8%. EV charging station maker Blink Charging (BLNK) spiked 48%, or 333% so far this month.
The electric car market is expected to expand in 2021, though largely due to government policies pressuring traditional automakers to expand their EV offerings. EV supply is rapidly coming on line, especially in Europe, but will EV demand follow suit? The coming years could be a boom market for EV sales, but with cutthroat competition.
But, for now, electric car stocks are racing at breakneck speed. Even if you think they should stop, or go into reverse, you don’t want to step in front of them.
PayPal stock rose 4.2% to 200.82, rebounding from its 50-day line and breaking a downward-sloping trend line. Both are buy signals. PYPL stock has another early entry at 205.02. At the end of this week, PayPal stock is likely to have a new base with an official buy point of 215.93.
Note that the relative strength line for PYPL stock has fallen significantly since its Oct. 21 peak, though that follows a long run. The RS line, the blue line in the charts provided, tracks a stock’s performance vs. the S&P 500 index.
PayPal is rallying as the digital payments leader has moved into Bitcoin transactions. Bitcoin prices have been soaring in the past several weeks. PayPal reportedly is accounting for a huge share of Bitcoin buys in the past few weeks, after rival Square (SQ) had dominated the cryptocurrency’s purchases.
Meanwhile, CrowdStrike rose 1.25%, Twilio stock 1.5% and Novocure 1.55%. Those all followed big gains last week, surging from 50-day/10-week lines and breaking downtrends. They also moved above a further resistance point, offering yet another buy point. On Monday, all three stocks initially fell, but all found support at that latest buy point in a bullish rebound.
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Apple stock fell 3% to 113.83, falling through its 50-day line and closing near session lows. The RS line has fallen since Sept. 1 to its lowest level since the end of July. After a strong run after the coronavirus crash, Apple stock may need to some time off.
Please follow Ed Carson on Twitter at @IBD_ECarson for stock market updates and more.
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